In this pre-election analysis we have not set out to give a politically coloured view but one that concentrates on the likely impact of the policies of the 3 key parties on the UK quoted market. We have summarised the key policies that will touch the markets and provide a view of the potential differences in investment strategy given 3 scenarios;
1. a Conservative victory
2. a Labour victory
3. a Liberal Democrat victory
There are inevitably common policies between the 3 political parties. We have chosen not to wholesale repeat recommendations in each party section below, so please read each party’s section – and not just the one that aligns to your voting preference or election outcome belief.
A hung parliament would, we believe, see the Liberal Democrats seriously influencing which policies would pass into law. We see a hung Government as the worst scenario most likely to trigger a de-rating of UK paper by Standard & Poor’s Credit Rating Agency (S&P) from an AAA rating. A rating cut would be disastrous with a major negative impact on exchange rates and a significant ripple effect on the market.
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